Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 82 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 25 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 67 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 8:19PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Shreveport LA
An estimated 1,541,107 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- March 16, 2026 · score 52 · 9.0 km
- July 11, 2026 · score 48 · 11.9 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 52 · 20.2 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 83 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 83% |
| Coordinates | 35.4320, -89.9034 |
| Nearest City | Ellendale (23 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.5M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T01:19:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b3ddc45551d254bc7480532d641664b5 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Grant, LA; Natchitoches, LA; Winn, LA; Jasper, TX; Beauregard, LA; Vernon, LA; Newton, TX and 21 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 8:19PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Shreveport LA |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T21:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Shreveport LA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 24 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b3ddc45551d254bc7480532d641664b52faf73ae.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5343ea6d3fbdb46a634606cdb1c2069decf83ce3.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0f1a710784f3adc4c49ddae37ff6f55221219c1e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.19ae4e2c4804bda71d28e5cc92527d2e7461e157.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.849573d8b30d6adc6b65ac6b94352d31a0f303ec.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.15933ec58176119875a60deffd36dcc8a504a8d9.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.28e255c832d8b71314595785cbbb0aae79739080.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f57fa73461d1611cb9cf3f34026ec3fe81fa64af.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.74db84fbaea78d8aee85e2e0e9a5abdf15b89c39.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e1e3ac658bc5a23dff1ab92b209a2e0674db76a7.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d109f90706e4a2485b32e40d87813fcbf1e0f330.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4f8683814af81a3305a29552ac4b63e8d39e95a8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f203c2a8aa69266e1590888b3c40ab31f1dffddf.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cb006ec8998e5141993d4ba589db6c9e3311948b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.95841798915f89fee0b93669f0c19363463778c2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.076e7acffc54ded3511c1d0d23b27c78fe779e1c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.079d4daad567afbaa189d3eb9888ab67678eca77.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b548c85c3de63b3019fec02c72b6489b5e7012a0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.76dc4de1899e7006a0759b1ceb97bd145647d2ba.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6ec2657289ee1e637852ad7953b9a1153c5ba73f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a0016b717383415bc334f93467c0b8f192b2ca94.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.be63ea006d13ab257edf76fefb640b8fac399464.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.44547f67c1981b2ccf4f5b9cc8b12b374bc3cf34.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.15205be255d728a57e4a4c8293e9d228664daed6.002.1"] |
| Google News RssFeed | weather |
| Google News SourceName | FOX13 Memphis |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"gnews_weather_492669_110","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1773610744000,"latitude":35.15,"longitude":-90.05}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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